Precision Optics Corp Inc/Mass (POCI)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.84+3.42%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · POCI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -56.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 7.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 64.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
POCI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-03-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Underwriting Agreement On March 27, 2026, Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Lucid Capital Markets, LLC (the “Underwriter”), relating to the issuance and sale (the “Offering”) of 2,777,777 shares of its common stock, par value $0.01 per share, at a price to the public of $3.60 per share. In connection with the Offering, the Company has granted the Underwriter…
Why it matters: Fourth-quarter gross margin rose to 25.3%, while the full-year rate fell to 17.2%. Another strong quarter would test whether the recent gain lasts.
Supportive ifGross margin is above 23.6% in the next reported quarter, exceeding the prior quarter's 23.6% rate.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 17.2%, the fiscal 2026 full-year rate.
Why it matters: The company guided to $30 million to $33 million in revenue. Results below that range would show that other programs did not offset the satellite pause.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 revenue is reported below $30 million, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 revenue is at least $30 million and within the $30 million to $33 million guidance range.
Why it matters: The company still reported a full-year adjusted EBITDA loss. A larger loss would signal that sales and cost gains are not enough.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA loss is worse than $1.7 million, below the guided range of a $1.2 million to $1.7 million loss.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA loss is $1.2 million or less, better than the guided range.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $504 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,434 loss on $10,000 · 34.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.