Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Power Integrations (POWI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$46.80-0.40%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.86 → 1.86 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 4 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for POWI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain gross margin between 53.5% and 54.5% | It aims to keep gross margin near 54%. | Intact | gross margin falls below 53.5% next quarter | Gross margin: 54.34% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=53.5% and <=54.5%. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 6, 202654.344664 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a growth-oriented semiconductor business, with the multi-year view resting on continued revenue growth and disciplined costs. The thesis is currently intact, though recent momentum and quality measures have weakened.
Valuation is expensive versus peers, at a 1.13 premium, while the evidence says expectations are broadly aligned with the business outlook. The priced-in assessment is justified and fragility is low, but that does not remove the risk of disappointment if execution weakens.
Near term, revenue grew 9.8% sequentially in 2026-Q2, and management guided for further growth in 2026-Q3. Gross margin improved, while operating expenses stayed within the stated range; however, recent momentum and quality measures fell, and a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative.
The multi-year view hinges on management sustaining revenue growth while keeping margins and expenses near stated ranges. Near-term risks include a guidance cut and continued pressure across technology; Fed rate cuts or steadier results from large sector peers could provide a more supportive backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, POWI’s thesis rests on continued execution, but elevated risk and an expensive peer-relative valuation make the weaker momentum worth watching. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Power Integrations's published investment case. The stated target is >=55M and <=56M USD. |
| Intact |
| operating expenses exceed $56M next quarter |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve revenue between $115M and $120M | A primary condition in Power Integrations's published investment case. The stated target is >=115M and <=120M USD. | Intact | revenue falls below $115M next quarter | Revenue: $118.939M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=115M and <=120M USD. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 6, 2026118,939,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.86 → $1.86 · observed estimates
$0.55B → $0.54B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.86 | $546,780,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.85 | $546,780,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.85 | $546,780,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.85 | $546,780,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.85 | $546,780,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.85 | $546,771,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.87 | $545,371,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.87 | $545,371,870 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.87 | $545,380,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.86 | $540,500,000 | 3 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.