Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$125.06-12.61%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · POWL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 23.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 17 industry peers
POWL — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-04
Other Events. On November 3, 2026, Powell Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: POWL) (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.09 per share payable to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 18, 2026. This dividend will be paid on December 16, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: The November report is the next test of the record orders and strong margins. The XLI sector trend is a headwind, so company results matter.
Watch forThe November 17 report shows orders above $490 million and gross margin at or above 30%.
Also watch forThe November 17 report shows orders below $490 million and gross margin below 29%.
Why it matters: Management said margins should stay near recent levels. A sharp drop could signal weaker pricing or trouble delivering projects.
Worry ifQ4 gross margin falls below 29%, down from 30.6% in Q3.
Less concerning ifQ4 gross margin is 30% or higher, near the Q3 level.
Why it matters: The yard expansion is meant to add room for new projects. A late finish could limit how fast Powell can handle its growing backlog.
Worry ifPowell confirms the Jacintoport yard expansion is complete by the end of Fiscal 2026.
Less concerning ifPowell reports that the yard expansion is not complete by the end of Fiscal 2026, or gives a later finish date.
Why it matters: Q3 orders reached $934 million, and backlog rose to $2.4 billion. A strong next quarter would show that demand remains broad.
Supportive ifQ4 new orders reach at least $900 million, with a book-to-bill ratio near or above 3.0x.
Worry ifQ4 new orders fall below $490 million, the Q2 level, or book-to-bill drops below 1.0x.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$229 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $753 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,117 loss on $10,000 · 61.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.