PPL Corporation (PPL)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$35.72+0.03%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PPL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers
PPL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 7, 2026, PPL Corporation ("PPL") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 and other business matters. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. Section 7 - Regulation FD
Why it matters: A signed deal would turn some data-center demand into a defined project path. PPL says the joint venture will not make major commitments without a deal or cost coverage.
Supportive ifPPL or Invitium announces at least one signed energy supply services agreement by Dec. 31, 2026.
Worry ifNo agreement is announced by Dec. 31, 2026, or the joint venture says talks have ended.
Why it matters: PPL reports on Nov. 6. Its second-half results need to support the $1.90 to $1.98 forecast.
Watch forQ3 results keep the $1.90 to $1.98 2026 forecast in place, with ongoing EPS at or above the pace needed to reach $1.94.
Also watch forPPL cuts its 2026 forecast below $1.90 or reports Q3 ongoing EPS too low to support the forecast range.
Why it matters: A CPCN filing could start the next step toward more generation investment in Kentucky. PPL links the need to rising large-load demand.
Supportive ifLG&E and KU file a CPCN request by Dec. 31, 2026, for generation beyond the 2.3 GW already in development.
Worry ifBy Dec. 31, 2026, no request for a CPCN for more generation is filed, or the utilities withdraw one.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$81 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $198 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,969 loss on $10,000 · 19.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.