Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH)
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-09-04
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Put PRCH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Property & Casualty Insurance is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Adjusted EBITDA reaches at least $103 million in 2026: FY26 EBITDA guidance $119M-$125M vs $103M target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 18% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 233% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 66% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskPRCH's growth relies on achieving adjusted EBITDA of at least $103 million in 2026. Revenue grew 12% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations. It trades at 112× price-to-book versus a peer median of 2×. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast, indicating expectations look full. A specific risk is the potential for guidance cuts after a recent raise, which could harm credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 233% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. PRCH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering PRCH (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare PRCH with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRCH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Property & Casualty Insurance — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PRCH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
CFO selling shares may signal lack of confidence.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Mixing SaaS and insurance poses significant operational challenges.
CEO selling stock raises concerns about future performance.