PRIMO BRANDS CORP (PRMB)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-04
$21.02+2.09%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRMB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers
PRMB — officer change
Dated 2026-08-20
Director — Allison Spector: The resignation of a board seat mandated by a contractual ownership threshold is a genuine departure but is procedurally driven and not indicative of internal conflict or operational shock.
Why it matters: Q1 EBITDA fell 10.4% year over year, while Q2 rose 5.0%. The next report tests whether the rebound continues.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is above its year-ago level, and its margin is at least 21.4%.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is below its level from a year ago, or its margin is below 21.2%.
Why it matters: Net leverage was 3.42x at Q2, down from 3.52x at Q1. Another drop would show progress on debt.
Supportive ifQ3 net leverage is below 3.42x, with net debt below Q2's $4.9 billion.
Worry ifQ3 net leverage is at or above 3.42x, or net debt rises above Q2's $4.9 billion.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 sales growth range to 2%–4%. Q3 results will show if sales keep pace.
Supportive ifOn November 5, Q3 comparable net sales growth is above 2% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 comparable net sales growth is below 2% year over year, or management cuts its 2%–4% full-year range.
Why it matters: Primo agreed to repurchase 410,340 shares from a stockholder linked to One Rock. A completed deal would confirm the stated share count.
Watch forA company filing confirms Primo bought back all 410,340 shares.
Also watch forA company filing says the deal was canceled, changed, or completed for fewer than 410,340 shares.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $399 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,619 loss on $10,000 · 36.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin fell from 31.3% a year earlier. Management cited higher transport costs and depreciation.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is above 30.5% year over year and higher than Q2's 30.5%.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is 30.5% or lower, with transport costs still weighing on results.