Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.77+41.39%
Close 2026-10-22 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PSKY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -33.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 56.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PSKY — legal / regulatory event
Dated 2026-09-25
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, NYSE rules, including its exemption from certain corporate governance requirements; and risks associated with the lack of voting rights of the Class B Common Stock. A further list and description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors and the general risks associated with the Company can be found in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”…
Why it matters: This output goal tests whether the merged studios can keep making content at scale. A shortfall would challenge that plan.
Watch forThe company reports at least 30 theatrical films and 180 television shows or series in a year.
Also watch forThe company reports fewer than 30 films in theaters or fewer than 180 TV shows or series in a year.
Why it matters: The WBD deal added large debt obligations. Debt falling toward 3.0 times earnings would support the company's plan.
Watch forA report shows net debt falling and keeps the goal of reaching 3.0x net leverage by the end of 2029.
Also watch forA report shows net debt rising, or management delays or drops the 3.0x goal.
Why it matters: Skydance targets $6 billion in yearly savings within three years. Early results can show whether the deal is on track.
Watch forA company update reports savings on pace to reach at least $6 billion a year within three years.
Also watch forA company update lowers the $6 billion savings goal or pushes its timing beyond three years.
Why it matters: The sector has been growing, but recent signs point to a possible change. Growth below its median would add pressure to Skydance's plans.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median, as the sector data flags as a key change to watch.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays at or above its median in the next reported reading.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$185 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $515 loss on $10,000 · 5.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,999 loss on $10,000 · 60.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.