Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.86-1.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PSKY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 19.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 46.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PSKY — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-04
Other Events On July 31, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation (the “Company”) filed a Current Report on Form 8-K (the “Original Report”) to file, among other things, the unaudited pro forma financial statements included as Exhibit 99.3 thereto. The Company is filing this Amendment No. 1 on Form 8-K/A (the “Amendment”) to amend Exhibit 99.3 of the Original Report in order to correct certain information included in the table on page 5 of such Exhibit 99.3. The table below updates and supersedes…
Why it matters: This report will show if Paramount is on track for its $30 billion revenue target for 2026.
Watch forQ2 revenue is over $7.5 billion. This shows strong progress toward the $30 billion goal.
Also watch forQ2 revenue is under $7.0 billion. This raises worries about reaching the $30 billion goal.
Why it matters: The adjusted EBITDA results will show if the company is on track for its $3.8B target in 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA is over $900M. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA is below $700M. This shows challenges in reaching the target.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal is key to showing good finances and running well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reaches or exceeds $3.8 billion for the full year.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $3.8 billion for the full year.
Why it matters: Keeping subscriber growth steady is key for long-term DTC profits.
Watch forParamount+ adds 1 million or more subscribers in Q2.
Also watch forParamount+ loses subscribers or adds fewer than 1 million in Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$179 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $450 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,005 loss on $10,000 · 60.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sustaining or improving revenue growth is key to achieving the $30 billion target for 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 2% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 2% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal is important for growth and meeting revenue goals.
Supportive ifWatch for news on regulatory approval. Also, look for updates on the deal's completion.
Worry ifWatch for delays in the deal due to regulatory problems or financing issues.
Why it matters: Getting debt issued is key. It helps pay for the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition.
Supportive ifDebt issuance was completed successfully with good terms.
Worry ifDebt issuance fails or is delayed significantly.
Why it matters: Hitting the revenue target is crucial for investor confidence. It shows the company is on track with its growth plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reaches or exceeds $30 billion.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $28 billion. This shows there are growth challenges.
Why it matters: Strong growth in DTC revenue shows good expansion and consumer interest.
Supportive ifDTC revenue growth reported at more than 11% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifDTC revenue growth reported below 11% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: The acquisition is a key milestone for Paramount. It could reshape the company’s future. Investors will look for confirmation of completion.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close by September 30, 2026, as planned.
Worry ifThe acquisition may face delays or regulatory issues. This could cause it to miss the September deadline.
Why it matters: These savings are important for making more money. They show good cost management.
Supportive ifManagement reports achieving at least $2.5 billion in savings by end of 2026.
Worry ifSavings reported fall below $2 billion by end of 2026.