Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
PSQ Holdings Inc (PSQH)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.65-14.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PSQH yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolve NYSE listing compliance issues | The company is addressing NYSE compliance issues. | Intact | NYSE delisting or failure to meet listing standards occurs | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk growth business that is still loss-making, not yet a proven durable compounder. The long-term thesis is improving but remains in a watch state, with recent momentum stronger while performance still trails its industry cohort.
The evidence labels PSQH cheap versus peers, but model confidence is low and the expectations gap is negative. The valuation signal is marked justified, with no flagged fragility, so the evidence does not point to a clear mismatch between valuation and expectations.
Near-term revenue growth is strong: second-quarter revenue rose 108% year over year, and management reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance. Losses have narrowed, though progress is mixed, and the recent earnings miss, consecutive misses, and volatile management make the next report a key risk.
The multi-year thesis depends on PSQH sustaining revenue growth while reducing operating losses after a major workforce reduction. Near term, a guidance cut would weaken the case, while lower interest rates or stabilization among large tech companies could support the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, PSQH has a growth-and-cost-control case, but it is not yet supported by consistent earnings execution. The thesis hinges on meeting revenue goals and continuing to narrow losses despite elevated near-term risk. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Operating losses have improved from -$10.3M to -$6.1M, showing progress. |
| Under Pressure |
| operating loss worsens beyond -$8 million in FY26 |
Operating income: $-4.79M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: operating loss >= -$6.1 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 4, 2026-4,789,771 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve at least $32M revenue in fiscal 2026 | A primary condition in PSQ Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $32 million. | Broken | annual revenue falls below $25 million in FY26 | Revenue: $7.133M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $32 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 4, 20267,132,526 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “The Company has reported EveryLife as discontinued operations since the third quarter of 2025, reflecting the Company's previously stated intention to divest non-core assets as it concentrates on its core payments and financial infrastructure businesses.” “The priorities have not changed: grow revenue responsibly, reduce cash burn, and get to profitability.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-5.40 → $-5.78 · observed estimates
$0.04B → $0.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-5.40 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-5.40 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-5.40 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-5.40 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-5.40 | $44,674,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-5.40 | $44,674,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-5.40 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-5.40 | $44,673,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-5.40 | $44,673,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-5.78 | $44,673,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-5.78 | $44,700,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.