Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.40+0.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PTON
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks PTON against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to grow Free Cash Flow with a minimum target of $350 million for fiscal year 2027.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Free Cash Flow grew from a minimum target of $250 million in 2025-Q4 to $378 million actual in 2026-Q3, exceeding targets. The FY27 guidance sets a minimum target of $350 million, indicating continued focus and delivery on Free Cash Flow growth.
“Full Year FY26 Free Cash Flow was $378 million, an increase of $54 million or 17% year-over-year.”
“Free Cash Flow expected to be in the vicinity of $350 million, an increase of $75 million from our minimum target provided last quarter.”
“Free Cash Flow minimum target of $275 million.”
“Free Cash Flow minimum target of $250 million.”
Target Adjusted EBITDA growth with a guidance range of $475 million to $525 million for fiscal year 2027.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew from $403.6 million in FY25 to $468 million in FY26 (+16%). FY27 guidance targets $475 million to $525 million, a 6.8% increase at midpoint, showing continued delivery and growth focus.
“Adjusted EBITDA* was $468 million for Full Year FY26, an increase of 16% year-over-year.”
Sustain gross margin improvements with FY27 guidance around 54%, reflecting ongoing cost and operational efficiencies.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Gross Margin improved from 50.9% in FY25 to 52.6% in FY26 (+170 bps). FY27 guidance targets approximately 54.0%, a further 140 bps increase, indicating ongoing delivery on margin improvement.
“Total Gross Margin was 52.6% for Full Year FY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 170 basis points.”
Expand revenue streams by growing the Commercial Business Unit and leveraging strategic partnerships like Spotify globally.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 4 quarters. Commercial Business Unit revenue grew 14% year-over-year in 2026-Q3, and the company expanded global digital reach via a Spotify partnership in 2026-Q2. This shows focused growth in new revenue streams with tangible progress.
Double the number of microstores in fiscal year 2027 to enhance in-person retail presence.
Newly stated in 2026-Q3. Management reported microstores exceeded sales goals and plans to double the microstore fleet in FY27. This is a recent strategic initiative with early positive operational results.
“Microstores outperformed internal sales goals, delivering an efficient in-person first party retail channel. We plan to double our microstore fleet in FY27.”
Over the trailing year it converted 0.13x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates (low R² over the window).
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2538).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $470 million to $480 million, representing an increase of $71 million or 18% year-over-year at the midpoint.”
“Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $425 million to $475 million.”
“Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $400 million to $450 million reflects an increase of $21 million or 5% year-over-year at the midpoint.”
“Total Gross Margin outlook of approximately 52.5%, reflecting an increase of 160 bps year-over-year.”
“Total Gross Margin outlook of approximately 52.0%.”
“Full Year FY26 Total Gross Margin is expected to be ~51.0%.”
“Commercial Business Unit Revenue grew 14% year-over-year in Q3.”
“Expanded our global digital reach through our strategic partnership with Spotify.”