Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$28.78-4.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PXED
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
PXED — director transition
Dated 2026-07-13
Director — Robert Brackenbury: Robert Brackenbury was appointed to the Board of Directors as a Class I director.
Why it matters: Meeting this target shows good performance even with recent income drops.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA was $244 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA was less than $244 million.
Why it matters: More students mean more money and show demand for education services.
Supportive ifTotal Degreed Enrollment was more than 85,000.
Worry ifTotal Degreed Enrollment was less than 85,000.
Why it matters: This call will share details about money made and future plans.
Watch forPositive comments on money results and future plans during the call.
Also watch forNegative comments or lower plans during the call.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows the company is keeping costs down while growing.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is at or above $78.1 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $78.1 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $542 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,006 loss on $10,000 · 30.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting revenue guidance would show the company is on track despite recent declines.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue reported at or above $1,020 million.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue reported below $1,020 million.
Why it matters: This report gives details on revenue, enrollment, and profit trends. These are key for judging the company's performance.
Watch forEarnings report shows positive trends in revenue and enrollment.
Also watch forEarnings report shows declining trends in revenue and enrollment.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue shows the company is on track to hit its annual goal.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $271.8 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $271.8 million.