Ribbon Communications, Inc. (RBBN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.38-10.39%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RBBN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -77.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 83.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RBBN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-28
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (the "Current Report"), including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. On Ju…
Why it matters: Q3 non-GAAP gross margin was 50.3%, below its year-ago level. The Q4 guide calls for a sharp step up.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 non-GAAP gross margin is at least 53.5%, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifQ4 2026 non-GAAP gross margin is below 53.5%.
Why it matters: Ribbon cut its 2026 revenue range in Q2. Nine-month revenue was $574 million, so Q4 delivery matters for the revised plan.
Watch forFull-year 2026 revenue is at least $810 million, the low end of the revised range.
Also watch forFull-year 2026 revenue is below $810 million.
Why it matters: IP Optical posted record Q3 sales after strong bookings. Continued growth would back the company's key network growth plan.
Supportive ifA later report shows IP Optical revenue above the same quarter a year earlier.
Worry ifA later report shows IP Optical revenue below the same quarter a year earlier.
Why it matters: Ribbon named AI voice and AIOps as growth areas. Customer wins show whether interest turns into sales.
Supportive ifRibbon reports a new paid customer deal for Acumen AIOps, AI voice, or an AI voice security product.
Worry ifRibbon reports no new paid deals in these areas in its next company update.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$233 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $683 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,048 loss on $10,000 · 60.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Ribbon guided to $233 million to $247 million in Q4 revenue. Meeting that range would extend its recent sales rebound.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is at least $233 million, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $233 million.