REX American Resources Corporation (REX)
NYSEEnergyChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$39.60+0.66%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -17.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
REX — officer change
Dated 2026-07-01
The company updated the employment agreements for its senior executives, increasing their bonus and salary limits.
Why it matters: The three draft permits are a step toward the carbon capture project, but public review is still open. Final permits would mark further progress.
Supportive ifThe EPA issues final Class VI permits for all three One Earth injection wells.
Worry ifThe EPA denies any of the three permits, or the review ends without final permits and the project is delayed.
Why it matters: Q2 ethanol prices rose only slightly, while higher prices for distillers grains and corn oil helped results. Lower product prices could squeeze plant margins.
Worry ifIn the December 3 earnings release, the average ethanol price is below $1.72 per gallon. The distillers grains price is below $161.03 per ton.
Less concerning ifAt the December 3 earnings release, ethanol price is at least $1.72 per gallon and distillers grains price is at least $161.03 per ton.
Why it matters: The project budget is $220-$230 million, and spending had reached $191.2 million by July 31. Higher costs could raise the funding need.
Worry ifREX reports total project spending above $230 million, the top of its stated budget.
Less concerning ifREX reports total project spending at or below $230 million when the project is complete.
Why it matters: The expansion is due to run in fiscal 2026. A timely start would confirm progress on a key growth project.
Supportive ifREX reports that testing and startup began. The expanded facility was running by the end of fiscal 2026.
Worry ifREX reports that testing or startup ran past fiscal 2026, or the expanded facility is not yet running.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$118 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $312 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,477 loss on $10,000 · 24.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.