Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-05
$38.15-2.80%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REXR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -7.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
REXR — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-22
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On October 22, 2026, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its earnings for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, and distributed certain supplemental financial information. On October 22, 2026, the Company also posted the supplemental financial information on its website located at www.rexfordindustrial.com. Copies of the press release and supplemental financial information are furnished herewith as Exh…
Why it matters: Same-property cash NOI fell 1.1% in Q3, while the full-year forecast calls for growth. Positive growth would show the yearly goal remains in reach.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 same-property cash NOI growth is at least 0.25%, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifFull-year same-property cash NOI growth is below 0.25%, the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Q3 ending occupancy rose to 96.9%, but the full-year average forecast is lower. The yearly result will show whether leasing gains last.
Supportive ifFor full-year 2026, average same-property occupancy is 95.8% or higher. This is the low end of guidance.
Worry ifAverage occupancy at the same properties for the full year is below 95.8%, the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Rexford sold $1.5B of properties through Q3 and raised its 2026 sales range. More sales would test its portfolio realignment plan.
Supportive ifBy year-end, total 2026 property sales reach at least $1.7B, within the updated $1.7B-$2.0B range.
Worry ifTotal 2026 property sales fall below $1.7B, the low end of updated guidance.
Why it matters: Rexford raised its full-year Core FFO range, but Q3 per-share Core FFO was flat year over year. The year-end result tests whether the higher range holds.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 Core FFO per share is at least $2.41, the low end of updated guidance.
Worry ifFull-year Core FFO per share is below $2.41, the low end of updated guidance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $196 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,219 loss on $10,000 · 22.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Rexford cut planned project starts from 1.2M to 0.8M square feet. The year-end figure will show if it follows the smaller plan.
Watch forRepositioning and development starts total about 0.8M square feet for the year. This matches updated guidance.
Also watch forFull-year starts fall below 0.8M square feet or guidance is cut again.