Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$19.59-4.49%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.89 → 1.59 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for REZI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Improve cash flow from operations to positive territory | A primary condition in Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is > $0. | Improving | Cash flow remains negative over next 4 quarters | Cash from operations: $148M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: > $0. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 12, 2026148,000,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 10, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This investment represents a turnaround story in the industrial sector. The company has faced some volatility but is making progress on key management priorities.
The current valuation suggests that the market sees REZI as relatively cheap compared to its peers. There is a low expectations gap, indicating that investors are not overly optimistic about future performance.
Management is on track with key initiatives, including a recent spin-off and targets for revenue and gross margin growth. However, the earnings quality remains fragile, and there is some risk of missing future earnings expectations.
The future performance of REZI will depend on the company's ability to maintain execution quality and the overall health of the industrial sector. Watching the performance of sector leaders will provide important signals for REZI's trajectory.
In the next 1-3 years, REZI's performance will likely be influenced by both its internal management execution and external market conditions. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Adjusted EBITDA rose 28% to $215 million in 2026-Q1. |
| Intact |
| Adjusted EBITDA falls below $168 million in 2026-Q1 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Sustain revenue growth near $7.85 billion in 2026 | A primary condition in Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is ~$7.85B. | Broken | Annual revenue falls below $7.47 billion in FY26 | Revenue: $1.981B FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$7.85B. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 20261,981,000,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Complete ADI Global Distribution spin-off by August 2026 | Resideo plans to finish spinning off its ADI business by August 2026. | Recovered | Spin-off delayed beyond August 2026 | Spin-off completed 2026-08-03 vs target 2026-08-03 Filing confirms ADI distribution completed August 3, 2026; ADI began trading as ADIG on NYSE. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$3.03 → $1.59 · observed estimates
$8.01B → $3.01B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $3.03 | $8,011,234,150 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $2.88 | $6,821,963,640 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $2.11 | $8,011,234,149 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $2.06 | $8,102,314,225 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $2.06 | $8,102,314,225 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $2.06 | $8,102,314,225 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.88 | $3,019,816,027 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.89 | $3,026,862,020 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.77 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.77 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.77 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.59 | $3,009,089,616 | 2 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 5 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.