Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$19.59-4.49%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REZI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -41.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -55.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
REZI — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-04
President and Chief Executive Officer, principal financial officer — Thomas Surran: Thomas Surran was promoted to additional roles following the Distribution.
Why it matters: P&S posted 13 straight quarters of year-over-year gross margin growth. Keeping that run going would support the long-term margin goal.
Supportive ifP&S gross margin in a reported quarter is higher than the same quarter a year earlier.
Worry ifP&S gross margin in a reported quarter is flat or lower than the same quarter a year earlier.
Why it matters: Resideo said it planned this payment by the end of Q3. A completed payment would cut debt; a delay would leave more debt in place.
Watch forResideo reports that it repaid about $200 million of Term Loan B debt by the end of Q3.
Also watch forResideo reports that the payment was not made by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: Management set a 4%-5% revenue growth goal through 2030. The next reports will show whether the smaller business is moving toward it.
Supportive ifP&S revenue growth reaches at least 4% year over year in a reported quarter.
Worry ifP&S revenue falls year over year in a reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $568 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,087 loss on $10,000 · 60.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.