RH (RH)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$137.43-5.16%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 14 industry peers
RH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-03-31
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 31, 2026, RH released its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, which are available on the investor relations section of its website. Copies of the press release announcing the release of financial results and the financial results are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated herein by reference. RH is also disclosing that it may use the rh.com, restorationhardware.com, and ir…
Why it matters: The sector data point to shrinking revenue, while RH has raised its own sales outlook. A new cut would show RH is not escaping that pressure.
Worry ifRH cuts its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook below 4% in its December report.
Less concerning ifRH keeps its 4%–8% growth outlook or raises it in the December report.
Why it matters: RH raised its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook to 4%–8%. The next report can show if sales growth holds.
Supportive ifIn the December 10 report, RH keeps its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook at 4%–8% or raises it.
Worry ifRH cuts its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook below 4%.
Why it matters: Free cash flow progress is mixed. RH raised its fiscal 2026 goal, but first-quarter operating cash was $52.5 million.
Supportive ifRH reports fiscal 2026 free cash flow of at least $300 million.
Worry ifRH reports fiscal 2026 free cash flow below $300 million or cuts its goal below that level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$253 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $588 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,234 loss on $10,000 · 52.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.