RIOT PLATFORMS, INC. (RIOT)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$14.76-3.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RIOT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
RIOT — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-11-04
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 29, 2026, the Digital Asset Custodial Agreement, dated as of November 1, 2023 (the “NYDIG Custodial Agreement” ), between Riot Platforms, Inc. (the “Company” ) and NYDIG Trust Company LLC ( “NYDIG Trust” ), terminated automatically upon completion of the transfer of the Company’s digital assets held by NYDIG Trust to BitGo Bank & Trust, National Association ( “BitGo Bank & Trust” ) as previously disclosed in the Company’s Current Repo…
Why it matters: A rise would show more revenue from live data center capacity. Q2 revenue was below Q1's $33.2 million.
Supportive ifQ3 data center revenue is above Q2's $23.2 million.
Worry ifQ3 data center revenue is $23.2 million or lower.
Why it matters: The first 96 MW is a key test of Riot's largest data center lease and its build schedule.
Supportive ifRiot delivers the first 96 IT MW to the AI lab by December 2027.
Worry ifRiot moves the first 96 IT MW delivery past December 2027 or reports that the build is behind plan.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$338 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $924 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,873 loss on $10,000 · 58.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.