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RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel ManufacturingSnapshot 2026-05-08

$358.45+1.39%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, RL has a composite score of 20.0, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 72.7 and is driven by macroeconomic factors, including growth, rates, inflation, and labor. The current analysis is provisional, reflecting potential changes in guidance and sector trends.

Composite +20as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 10% of consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.32
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
155274246471
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$358.45
TTM EPS
$17.32
Earnings yield
4.8%
P/E (TTM)
20.7

Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 10% cash conversion in consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
919
TTM CFO ($M)
885
CFO/NI
0.96
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 10% activity in consumer discretionary cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral14 analysts, 84% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $4.08 → $4.08 (-0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 14 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 84% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 33.5% above current price.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −15%, typical day ±1.4%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 42%; 252d 31%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLY) 0.03 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 48/100, drawdown 70/100, beta 3/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-4.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite67.1 / 100
Capital allocation66
Earnings discipline97
Margin discipline40
Balance sheet59
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction53
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
39higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
52higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
22.0x
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
FCF yield
3.2%

P/E over the last 5 years

56 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
RL
Ralph Lauren Corporation
+20fullmoderate
AMZN
Amazon
+16fullmoderate
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
+0.4expensiveelevated
HD
Home Depot (The)
+14fullmoderate
CVNA
Carvana
+14high
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.4%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.9%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-14.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-02-05)-16 pts
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02

    and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of such section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of the general incorporation language of such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
  2. 2026-01-153mo agoItem 5.02

    DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On January 15, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Ralph Lauren Corporation (the “Company”) elected Cesar Conde as a Class B director on the Board, effective January 15, 2026, to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders or until his successor is elected and qualified or until his earlier death, resignation or removal. In accord…

    executive changeneutralscore 4
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-05 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.