Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$351.20+2.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $351 the market pays 20× p/e — above the 15× p/e peer median but in line with its own 22× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $310 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $405–$511. Note: our $310 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($405–$511). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $443.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $426.99 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $789.53 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $62.33 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$405.00 – $511.00 (median $443.50) · 16 analysts · as of 2026-08-07
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 41% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 15.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $14.37/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $131.84 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $272.62 | 10.5 | 25.52 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $269.68 | 15.8 | 17.02 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $290.84 | 14.7 | 19.77 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $111.89 | 0.8 | 136.30 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $376.30 | 21.6 | 17.40 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $96.82 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $387.39 | 22.3 | 17.40 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $277.25 | 15.1 | 18.34 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $410.16 | 15.8 | 25.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $316.89 | 14.7 | 21.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $125.79 | 0.8 | 153.22 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $465.94 | 21.6 | 21.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $479.67 | 22.3 | 21.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $542.43 | 15.8 | 34.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $329.69 | 14.7 | 22.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $130.87 | 0.8 | 159.41 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $484.76 | 21.6 | 22.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $499.05 | 22.3 | 22.42 | Analyst | medium |