RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.93+0.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RLJ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 2.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RLJ — debt issuance
Dated 2026-02-18
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 11, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), RLJ Lodging Trust (the “Company”), as parent guarantor, and RLJ Lodging Trust, L.P., the Company’s operating partnership (the “Operating Partnership”), as borrower, entered into a Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Amended Credit Agreement”) with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association (“Wells Fargo”), as administrative agent, and the other lenders party thereto. The Amended Credit Agreement a…
Why it matters: Maintaining the dividend is crucial for investor confidence. Any change could signal financial stress.
Worry ifManagement confirms the dividend payout remains at $0.15 per share.
Less concerning ifManagement says they will lower the dividend payout.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into financial health and growth.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth higher than 5% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth lower than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow from operations shows good financial health. It also helps pay dividends.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $100 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $80 million in Q3.
Why it matters: If the sector shows renewed growth, it could boost RLJ's performance. It indicates a healthier market environment.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported above 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below 3% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$99 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $242 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,450 loss on $10,000 · 14.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in Comparable Hotel EBITDA shows the company is doing well. It means renovations and conversions are working.
Supportive ifComparable Hotel EBITDA growth exceeds 7% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifComparable Hotel EBITDA growth falls below 5% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: A steady dividend payout shows the company is financially healthy. It shows management believes in cash flow.
Supportive ifQuarterly cash dividend remains at $0.15 per common share for Q3.
Worry ifQuarterly cash dividend is reduced below $0.15 per common share for Q3.
Why it matters: Comparable RevPAR growth is a key indicator of hotel performance. It shows how well the company is attracting guests and managing pricing.
Supportive ifComparable RevPAR growth exceeds 6% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifComparable RevPAR growth falls below 4% year over year in Q3.