Sunrun (RUN)
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.79+1.27%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RUN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -53.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
RUN — credit agreement
Dated 2026-01-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On December 31, 2025, Sunrun Inc. (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 4 (“Amendment No. 4”) to that certain Credit Agreement, dated as of January 24, 2022 (as amended by Amendment No. 4, the “Credit Agreement”), by and among the Company, KeyBank National Association, as administrative agent, and the other parties thereto, to, among other things, (a) extend the stated maturity date from March 1, 2027 to March 1, 2028, (b) reduce the commitment…
Why it matters: The plan could bring new revenue from Sunrun's home battery network. The current letter of intent is non-binding, so a firm deal matters.
Supportive ifSunrun, Renew Home, and Tesla announce a signed deal with clear terms. It will deliver capacity to utilities or data centers.
Worry ifThe parties end the letter of intent, or no signed agreement is announced by the next earnings report.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$260 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $693 loss on $10,000 · 6.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,782 loss on $10,000 · 67.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.