Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$19.04-4.70%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RVLV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RVLV — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-03
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the exhibit attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in any such filing.
Why it matters: Inventory grew 25% year over year in Q2, faster than sales growth of 12%. A smaller gap could ease the risk of excess stock.
Worry ifQ3 inventory growth is above Q3 net sales growth year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 inventory growth is at or below Q3 net sales growth year over year.
Why it matters: Q2 net sales grew 12% year over year, and July sales grew about 18%. Q3 results will test whether that pace continues.
Watch forQ3 net sales rise more than 12% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 net sales rise less than 12% year over year, or fall from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Marketing rose to 16.5% of sales in Q2 as the company backed new growth projects. Q3 results will show whether spend stays near plan.
Watch forQ3 marketing costs are at or below 15.0% of net sales.
Also watch forQ3 marketing costs exceed 15.0% of net sales.
Why it matters: Q2 margin included a lift from tariff refunds. The Q3 outlook assumes no more refunds, so it tests the underlying margin trend.
Watch forQ3 gross margin is above 53.5%, the low end of the outlook.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin is below 53.5%, the low end of the outlook.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $476 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,432 loss on $10,000 · 44.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.