RYERSON HOLDING CORPORATION (RYZ)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$31.71-0.94%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RYZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 208.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 197.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RYZ — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-28
Other Events. On October 28, 2026, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per share of common stock, payable on December 17, 2026, to stockholders of record as of December 3, 2026. Future quarterly dividends, if any, will be subject to Board approval. The Company sponsors the Ryerson Pension Plan. In addition, the Company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Central Steel and Wire Company, LLC, sponsors the Central Steel & Wire Company Retirement Plan.
Why it matters: Ryerson used cash in Q2 and Q3 as it funded working capital. Positive cash flow would show that sales growth is using less cash.
Supportive ifQ4 net cash from operating activities is above $0.
Worry ifQ4 cash from operations is below $0 again.
Why it matters: Management tied strong demand to AI infrastructure and power generation. A volume drop would test whether that support lasts.
Worry ifQ4 same-store shipments decline from Q3's level of 814,000 tons.
Less concerning ifQ4 same-store shipments stay at or above Q3's 814,000 tons.
Why it matters: Ryerson reported a $52 million yearly run rate, above its first-year goal. Q4 progress tests the path to its $120 million two-year goal.
Supportive ifQ4 results report $14 million or more in synergy gains, and the yearly run rate stays on track toward $120 million.
Worry ifQ4 synergy gains fall below $14 million, or management lowers the $120 million goal.
Why it matters: Q3 same-store shipments reached their highest level in over five years. A drop could show that recent demand is fading.
Watch forA coming quarter's same-store shipments stay at or above Q3's 814,000 tons.
Also watch forA coming quarter's same-store shipments fall below Q3's 814,000 tons.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $544 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,763 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q3 gross margin before LIFO was 18.5%, down from 18.6% in Q2. A further drop would extend pressure from rising costs and price timing.
Worry ifGross margin before LIFO is below 18.5% in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifGross margin before LIFO is 18.5% or higher in the next reported quarter.