RYERSON HOLDING CORPORATION (RYZ)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$26.31+2.02%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RYZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 14.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
RYZ — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-29
Other Events. On July 29, 2026, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per share of common stock, payable on September 17, 2026, to stockholders of record as of September 3, 2026. Future quarterly dividends, if any, will be subject to Board approval. The Company sponsors the Ryerson Pension Plan. In addition, the Company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Central Steel and Wire Company, LLC, sponsors the Central Steel & Wire Company Retirement Plan.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows growth after the merger. It shows strong demand and good sales.
Supportive ifRevenue for Q3 2026 falls within the range of $1.87 billion to $1.95 billion.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue comes in below $1.87 billion.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is slowing in the industrial sector. A rebound would signal better demand.
Supportive ifRYERSON reports revenue growth above 5% in the next quarter.
Worry ifRYERSON's revenue growth remains below 5% for the next two quarters.
Why it matters: Reaching this EBITDA target shows strong operations and good cost control. It shows merger benefits.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 falls within the range of $88 million to $92 million.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, Adjusted EBITDA is less than $88 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this synergy target shows Olympic Steel is integrating well. It means the merger is doing better than expected.
Supportive ifManagement says they expect synergies of $13 million to $14 million for Q3 2026.
Worry ifSynergies are below $13 million for Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$229 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $610 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,763 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better gross margins mean stronger pricing power. This can help increase profits.
Supportive ifGross margin for Q3 2026 improves above 17.7%.
Worry ifGross margin for Q3 2026 declines below 17.7%.