SentinelOne Inc (S)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · S
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers
S — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-10-16
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth under
Why it matters: The company set Q3 revenue guidance at $309 million to $311 million. A result below that range would break its recent 21% growth pace.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 revenue is below $309 million, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ3 FY2027 revenue is at least $309 million and year-over-year growth stays near or above 21%.
Why it matters: ARR growth eased from 23% in Q1 to 22% in Q2. Growth below 20% would point to a sharper slowdown.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 ARR growth is below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 FY2027 ARR growth is at least 22% year over year.
Why it matters: The $1.25 billion notes may be paid in cash, shares, or both when converted. Final terms will show the conversion price and possible share impact.
Watch forThe final note terms show a higher conversion price, and capped calls cover the shares tied to the notes.
Also watch forThe final note terms show a lower conversion price or capped calls do not cover the shares tied to the notes.
Why it matters: Non-GAAP operating income reached 10% of sales in Q2. Results above the Q3 guide would show that profit gains are continuing.
Supportive ifQ3 FY2027 non-GAAP operating income is above $40 million, the high end of guidance.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 non-GAAP operating income is below $38 million, the low end of guidance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$220 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $609 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,090 loss on $10,000 · 30.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.