StandardAero (SARO)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$25.30-1.59%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SARO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -26.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SARO — COO transition
Dated 2026-09-28
COO — Kimberly Ernzen: The Chief Operating Officer is ceasing to serve in that role, representing a loss of a senior executive without an immediate named successor.
Why it matters: The COO left on September 28, and no successor was named in the event summary. A named successor would clarify who leads day-to-day operations.
Watch forA company filing or release names a new COO and confirms the transition is complete.
Also watch forBy the next earnings update, the company has not named a new COO or reports more leadership changes.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is marked as a headwind, with negative 60-day relative performance. A turn toward zero would ease that sector drag.
Watch forXLI's 60-day relative performance turns positive from -0.077236.
Also watch forXLI's 60-day relative performance remains below zero or falls further.
Why it matters: Cash flow swung from a $133.7 million outflow in Q1 to a $50.2 million inflow in Q2. The full-year target tests whether that rebound lasts.
Worry ifFY26 adjusted free cash flow is below $270 million, the low end of the updated range.
Less concerning ifFY26 adjusted free cash flow reaches at least $270 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$141 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $364 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,034 loss on $10,000 · 40.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.