Scholastic Corporation (SCHL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-05
$36.86-3.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPublishingSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SCHL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 142.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 138.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers
SCHL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-24
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On September 24, 2026, Scholastic Corporation (the "Company") issued the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing its results of operations for its quarter ended August 31, 2026. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of Scholastic’s filings with the SEC under the…
Why it matters: Book Fairs are a core growth area. Bookings were ahead of last year as Scholastic entered the fall season.
Supportive ifQ2 fiscal 2027 Book Fair revenue exceeds $113.3 million, the prior-year Q2 level.
Worry ifQ2 Book Fair revenue is $113.3 million or lower, or bookings fall below the prior-year level.
Why it matters: Q1 free cash use grew as working capital and capital spending rose. Full-year cash flow depends on improvement later in the year.
Watch forAt fiscal 2027 year-end, free cash flow is at least $35 million.
Also watch forScholastic cuts its $35 million to $40 million free cash flow goal, or reports negative full-year free cash flow.
Why it matters: Scholastic kept this full-year growth goal after Q1 revenue fell 4%. Q2 results test whether growth is taking hold.
Watch forAt the December 17, 2026 results, fiscal 2027 revenue guidance stays at 2% to 4%, with Q2 revenue above the prior-year quarter.
Also watch forScholastic cuts its 2% to 4% revenue growth goal, or Q2 revenue falls year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $389 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,166 loss on $10,000 · 31.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.