SES AI Corp (SES)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.50-0.75%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SES
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SES — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-08-14
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On August 13, 2026, SES AI Corporation (the “Company”) received notice from the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) that the NYSE has determined to (i) commence proceedings to delist the Company’s public warrants (the “Warrants”) and (ii) immediately suspend trading in the Warrants due to “abnormally low selling price” levels, pursuant to Section 802.01D of the NYSE Listed Company Manual. Eac…
Why it matters: Higher gross profit indicates better product margins and overall health. It supports growth goals.
Supportive ifGross profit reported at or above $1.5M.
Worry ifGross profit falls below $1.5M.
Why it matters: Closing above $1.00 would help SES regain compliance with NYSE listing standards.
Supportive ifThe stock closes above $1.00 for 30 consecutive trading days.
Worry ifThe stock is under $1.00 for 30 days. This risks getting removed from trading.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue for the sector may mean a recovery that helps SES.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below -2% year over year.
Why it matters: Cutting operating expenses shows SES AI wants to make more money and control costs.
Supportive ifOperating expenses are about 15% lower than they were in 2025.
Worry ifOperating expenses are the same or higher than in 2025.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$367 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $965 loss on $10,000 · 9.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,587 loss on $10,000 · 85.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A new contract shows growth in SES AI's Energy Storage Systems. This is key for revenue goals.
Supportive ifThere is a contract announcement worth $20 million or more in Energy Storage Systems.
Worry ifNo new contracts have been announced. This suggests possible stagnation in the ESS business.
Why it matters: Hitting this production level would show SES can meet demand for drone cells.
Supportive ifProduction reaches 1 million NDAA-compliant cells per year by Q4 2026.
Worry ifProduction fails to ramp up as planned, remaining below 500,000 cells by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Improvements in this platform could give SES a better edge in battery materials.
Watch forRelease of MU-4.0 with new capabilities by the end of 2026.
Also watch forDelays in the release of MU-4.0 or lack of new customer adoption.
Why it matters: Closing above $1.00 would help SES AI regain compliance with NYSE listing standards. This is crucial for maintaining its stock listing.
Supportive ifThe stock closes above $1.00 on the last trading day of any month during the six-month cure period.
Worry ifThe stock has been below $1.00 for 30 trading days. This risks delisting.
Why it matters: New agreements will show the value of the Molecular Universe platform. They will also increase revenue.
Watch forSES AI has a new supply agreement from the Molecular Universe platform.
Also watch forNo new agreements are made. This shows trouble in turning interest into sales.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows progress. It means the company is managing costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income was better than -$15M.
Worry ifOperating income worsens or stays worse than -$15M.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target would signal progress toward the 2026 guidance of $30M-$35M.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue of $7 million or more would indicate strong growth momentum.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is under $6 million. This shows problems in meeting yearly goals.
Why it matters: A higher gross margin means better profits and efficiency. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifGross margin reported at over 20% in Q2 or Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross margin is below 15%. This shows ongoing profit problems.