Reading SFM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SFM free→Reading SFM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SFM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · SFM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $86.33. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $94.17 | 17.4 | 5.40 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $107.13 | 12.2 | 8.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $58.71 | 16.2 | 3.62 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $90.68 | 17.4 | 5.20 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $74.22 |
| 0.9 |
| 84.37 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $104.42 | 20.1 | 5.20 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $81.17 | 15.6 | 5.20 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $96.26 | 17.4 | 5.52 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $120.63 | 17.4 | 6.92 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $83.27 | 16.2 | 5.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $116.16 | 17.4 | 6.66 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $107.83 | 0.9 | 122.57 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $133.76 | 20.1 | 6.66 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $103.97 | 15.6 | 6.66 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $142.28 | 17.4 | 8.16 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $105.10 | 16.2 | 6.47 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $137.01 | 17.4 | 7.86 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $138.32 | 0.9 | 157.23 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $157.77 | 20.1 | 7.86 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $122.63 | 15.6 | 7.86 | Analyst | high |