Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
$54.40+3.64%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put SFM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS around $5.40 in 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 5% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 47% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSprouts' premium grocery model has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 5% year over year in the latest quarter. The company missed its earnings target by 0.8%. It trades at 10x earnings versus a 17x peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. The primary pillar is under pressure. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 29% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. SFM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 16 analysts currently covering SFM (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SFM in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare SFM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SFM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Drive traffic and deepen customer engagement
Potential erosion of core customers threatens traffic and engagement, though the headline alone does not establish the scale.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $54.40
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $54.40.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Drive traffic and deepen customer engagement
Negative 2026 comp guidance and a pricing reset point to meaningful traffic and sales pressure.
Weak guidance and a quarterly miss signal meaningful operating pressure and prompted a sharp share decline.
Threatens: Drive traffic and deepen customer engagement
Traffic decline challenges customer-engagement progress despite reported growth and a sharp share-price reaction.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Outlook cuts tied to an outbreak indicate a significant sales headwind.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Negative comps indicate potential revenue growth issues.
Advances: Accelerate customer engagement
HQ expansion supports customer engagement and growth objectives.
Advances: Expand access to healthy food
New store enhances access to healthy food in Connecticut.
