Shimmick Corp (SHIM)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.77+2.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SHIM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SHIM — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-26
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 22, 2026, Shimmick Corporation (the “Company”) entered into an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Roth Capital Partners, LLC, as the underwriter named therein (the “Underwriter”), in connection with an underwritten public offering of 3,730,000 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Shares”), at a public offering price of $3.50 per Share. Under the terms of the Underwriting Agreement, the…
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Shimmick's performance. A stronger sector can lead to more contracts.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again. This shows a healthier market.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down or stays the same.
Why it matters: Improvements will show if the new COO is helping with execution and performance.
Supportive ifQ3 reports positive metrics. There are better gross margins and a strong backlog.
Worry ifQ3 metrics show no improvement or a decline.
Why it matters: The new COO may change how the company operates. This can affect overall performance.
Supportive ifGood changes happened after the COO transition.
Worry ifBad performance or issues came up after the transition.
Why it matters: Finishing this offering will give money for growth. It will help management's goals.
Supportive ifThe public offering is now complete.
Worry ifMore delays or cancellations of the public offering.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$294 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $763 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,052 loss on $10,000 · 50.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes to revenue guidance show how management sees the market and project work.
Supportive ifManagement raises revenue guidance for the year to over $575 million.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue guidance for the year to under $525 million.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA shows how well the company is doing. Strong results can show progress.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is over $7.5 million. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is below $5 million. This suggests problems.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future revenue. It shows demand for Shimmick's projects.
Supportive ifBacklog is above $944 million in the next quarters.
Worry ifBacklog declines or stays below $944 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this revenue target shows strong growth. It supports what management expects.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue at or above $130 million shows strong project work.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue below $120 million suggests weak demand or project delays.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue shows progress toward the $550M-$600M target for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $141.9M or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $141.9M.
Why it matters: Meeting this growth target shows Shimmick is on track to reach its annual revenue goal. It confirms operational momentum and demand for projects.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is at least 12% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is below 12% year over year.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows better profits and smoother operations. It shows management's plans are working.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for 2026 reaches at least $15 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for 2026 is less than $15 million.
Why it matters: New project awards show if the company can secure work in its target markets.
Supportive ifNew project awards exceed $150 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNew project awards fall below $100 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The new COO's plans may help with projects and efficiency. Good changes could raise profits and sales.
Watch forKey operational metrics improve a lot within six months of Sarah Tacker's start.
Also watch forKey operational metrics show no change or drop after six months.
Why it matters: A growing backlog would signal strong future revenue potential and project wins in key markets.
Supportive ifBacklog at or above $1 billion shows success in getting new projects.
Worry ifBacklog drops below $950 million, showing trouble in getting new projects.