Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (SHO)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.01+1.32%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SHO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
SHO — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-10
Other Events. On August 10, 2026, Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (the “Company”) and Sunstone Hotel Partnership, LLC (the “Operating Partnership”) entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “Equity Distribution Agreement”) with each of BofA Securities, Inc., BTIG, LLC, Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Capital One Securities, Inc., Huntington Securities, Inc., Jefferies LLC, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, M&T Securities, Inc., Regions Securities LLC, Truist Securities, Inc. and Wells Fargo Securi…
Why it matters: Storm repairs raised planned 2026 investment to $105 million to $115 million. Insurance payments could offset most added costs.
Watch forSHO reports that insurance paid most added Wailea repair costs. Full-year investment stays at or below $115 million.
Also watch forSHO reports that insurance did not pay most added repair costs, or full-year investment tops $115 million.
Why it matters: The resort changed to Hilton on July 1. Higher earnings would show that Hilton's booking reach helps the hotel.
Supportive ifA later company report shows Hilton Key West revenue or EBITDA above its prior level.
Worry ifA later company report shows Hilton Key West revenue or EBITDA flat or lower than its prior level.
Why it matters: Q2 beat expectations, and management raised its 2026 outlook. Q3 results will test whether that strength lasts.
Watch forQ3 RevPAR growth is at least 7% year over year, and adjusted EBITDA is at least $76.7 million.
Also watch forQ3 RevPAR falls below 7% growth, or adjusted EBITDA falls below $76.7 million.
Why it matters: The Bazaar is due to open at the renovated resort. Strong results could add to earnings growth through 2028.
Supportive ifThe Bazaar opens in Fall 2026. In a later quarter, Andaz Miami Beach reports higher revenue or EBITDA.
Worry ifThe opening is delayed past Fall 2026, or later results show no growth in Andaz Miami Beach revenue or EBITDA.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $217 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,066 loss on $10,000 · 10.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.