Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (SHO)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.06+0.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SHO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SHO — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-10
Other Events. On August 10, 2026, Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (the “Company”) and Sunstone Hotel Partnership, LLC (the “Operating Partnership”) entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “Equity Distribution Agreement”) with each of BofA Securities, Inc., BTIG, LLC, Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Capital One Securities, Inc., Huntington Securities, Inc., Jefferies LLC, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, M&T Securities, Inc., Regions Securities LLC, Truist Securities, Inc. and Wells Fargo Securi…
Why it matters: Changing the executive team can affect how the company runs and performs.
Watch forThe company has new key hires. These will make the executive team stronger.
Also watch forThere are no new hires or more departures from the executive team.
Why it matters: Strong RevPAR growth signals ongoing demand strength and supports the company's earnings outlook.
Supportive ifRevPAR growth for Q3 exceeds 9% year over year.
Worry ifRevPAR growth for Q3 falls below 7%.
Why it matters: More stock repurchases can show management's trust in the stock. This can help shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal stock repurchases will be over $50 million by year-end.
Worry ifRepurchases total less than $30 million by year-end.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows strong cash flow and support for shareholders.
Watch forThe company will raise the dividend to more than $0.09 per share.
Also watch forThe company cuts the dividend below $0.09 per share.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$86 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $220 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,066 loss on $10,000 · 10.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Investing in improvements helps long-term growth. Delays or cuts may show problems.
Worry ifThe company invests the full planned amount in 2026.
Less concerning ifThe company invests less than $95 million in 2026.
Why it matters: If adjusted EBITDA grows more than 8%, it shows strong performance. It also shows good cost management.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA re growth exceeds 8% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA re growth falls below 5%.
Why it matters: More stock buybacks can show that management believes in the company's value.
Supportive ifManagement announces more than $50 million in stock buybacks for the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new stock buyback news or a drop in buyback activity.
Why it matters: Strong performance from this property can boost overall growth and profits.
Supportive ifAndaz Miami Beach reports RevPAR growth over 10% in the next quarters.
Worry ifAndaz Miami Beach RevPAR growth falls below 5% in upcoming quarters.
Why it matters: More cash flow means better efficiency. It helps with future investments and dividends.
Supportive ifCash from operations is up from last quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations is down from last quarter.
Why it matters: Finishing these investments can improve property performance. It can also help future growth.
Supportive ifThe company will finish $105M to $115M in upgrades by the end of the year.
Worry ifCapital investments fall short of $95M.
Why it matters: An increase in RevPAR guidance would signal strong demand and pricing power in the hotel sector.
Supportive ifManagement raises RevPAR growth guidance to over 9.0% for 2026.
Worry ifRevPAR growth guidance remains at or below 7.0% for 2026.
Why it matters: Reaching this target would show the renovation worked. It would also help portfolio growth.
Supportive ifAndaz Miami Beach makes $31 million in EBITDA each year.
Worry ifAnnual EBITDA for Andaz Miami Beach stays below $28 million.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if cash from operations continues to increase. This affects the dividend.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings show cash from operating activities up more than 10% year over year.
Worry ifCash from operating activities declines or grows less than 5% year over year.