Shoulder Innovations, Inc. (SI)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$21.01+6.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 37.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 53.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
SI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Shoulder Innovations, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 hereto) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as am…
Why it matters: The company raised its 2026 revenue range after strong first-half growth. Q3 results test whether that pace continues.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue keeps the company on pace for at least $67 million in 2026 revenue.
Worry ifManagement cuts the 2026 revenue range below $67 million, or Q3 results put that floor out of reach.
Why it matters: More implant sales drove recent revenue growth. A sharp slowdown could weaken the growth story.
Supportive ifQ3 implant systems sold rise about 50% or more from Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 implant systems sold grow less than 25% year over year, or decline.
Why it matters: Operating losses rose year over year in both reported 2026 quarters. Continued widening would show that costs are still growing faster than the business.
Worry ifQ3 operating loss is larger than the $10.0 million loss in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifQ3 operating loss is smaller than $10.0 million, with revenue still growing year over year.
Why it matters: The October release began with a limited group of users. A full launch would show the new implant moving beyond its first cases.
Supportive ifThe company announces the full commercial launch of InSet Go in the coming quarters.
Worry ifThe company reports that the full launch is delayed, or does not announce it in the coming quarters.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$177 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $543 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,994 loss on $10,000 · 29.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.