Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.
Sidus Space Inc (SIDU)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.93-10.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
No analysts cover EPS estimates for this fiscal period.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for SIDU yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Improve cash flow from operations to reduce losses | Sidus Space aims to improve cash flow and gross margins. | Improving | cash flow remains below -$3M over next 4 quarters | Cash from operations: $-3.465M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: reduce negative cash flow to better than -$3M next 4 quarters. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 13, 2026-3,465,324 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 13, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, speculative growth business rather than an established compounder, with a loss-making profile and weak recent performance. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: technology work is advancing, but commercial delivery is not yet clear.
The valuation evidence points to a premium versus peers, while model confidence is low and the expectations gap is elevated. The evidence labels this pricing unjustified, but does not show that the full mix of expensive valuation, weak results, and turbulence is concentrated in the current setup.
Near term, earnings risk is elevated, following consecutive misses, and the weakening jobs trend adds pressure for cyclical Industrials businesses. Across the multi-year view, Fortis VPX integration is a concrete milestone, but revenue comparisons remain weak: second-quarter revenue was lower year over year, and operating expenses rose despite a narrower gross loss.
The thesis depends on management converting payload and spacecraft progress into recurring commercial and government revenue, while improving cost control. Sector bellwether results and the jobs trend are near-term swing factors: stronger industrial signals could support the sector backdrop, while misses or further labor weakness could deepen its headwind.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the case remains unproven: technology execution offers a path to progress, but revenue traction, persistent losses, and elevated earnings risk are central concerns. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Sidus Space aims to improve cash flow and gross margins. |
| Improving |
| gross profit margin remains negative beyond next 4 quarters |
Gross profit: $-629,723 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: gross profit margin improves to near breakeven next 4 quarters. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 13, 2026-629,723 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stabilize revenue decline and return to growth | A supporting condition in Sidus Space Inc's published investment case. The stated target is revenue decline less than -10% in FY26. | Broken | revenue decline exceeds -10% in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.05B → $0.05B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
| 2026-11-05 | Unavailable | $50,000,000 | 0 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.