SiTime (SITM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$612.09+6.55%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SITM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $612, SITM's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 36× p/s (4.3× the 8.3× p/s peer median, and 0.9× even its own history). At a normal multiple the price implies ~29% near-term growth vs our ~42% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $474 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts target $840–$900. Note: our $474 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($840–$900). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $640 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $875.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $92.75 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $95.91 | 46.6 | 2.06 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $347.08 | 25.3 | 13.74 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$840.00 – $900.00 (median $900.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-06
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $140.79 |
| 8.3 |
| 17.02 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $748.36 | 185.7 | 4.03 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $219.12 | 49.4 | 4.44 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $459.02 | 25.3 | 18.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $214.12 | 8.3 | 25.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $607.05 | 25.3 | 24.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $283.17 | 8.3 | 34.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |