SiTime (SITM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$355.00-11.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SITM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 41.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SITM — director transition
Dated 2026-10-23
Director — Katherine E. Schuelke: A director resigned and the board size was reduced, which is a standard governance change with low market impact.
Why it matters: Q2 margin reached 67.1%, above the stated 60% to 65% target range. A high reading would show strength after the deal.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is above 65%.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is below 60%.
Why it matters: The deal added over 550 clocking products. Sales near the stated $300 million mark would show the deal is adding scale.
Supportive ifSiTime reports at least $300 million of Renesas timing sales in the 12 months after the July 1 close.
Worry ifSiTime reports Renesas timing sales below $300 million for the first 12 months after the close.
Why it matters: Q2 non-GAAP operating income was $53.5 million, while GAAP operating income was $8.2 million. Both figures show whether profit holds after deal costs.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income stays above zero. GAAP operating income stays above zero too.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income falls to zero or less. Or GAAP operating loss grows from Q2's $8.2 million profit.
Why it matters: SiTime's next results are due November 4. Revenue growth can show whether demand stayed strong after the deal closed.
Watch forQ3 revenue is above $157.4 million, the Q2 level, and management reports growth across its markets.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $157.4 million, or management reports a broad slowdown in demand.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$347 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $823 loss on $10,000 · 8.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,527 loss on $10,000 · 55.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.