Southland Holdings, Inc. (SLND)
AMEXIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.65+4.19%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SLND
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SLND — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Additional information is included in the Company’s press release. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The foregoing description of the press release is qualified in its entirety by reference to the attached exhibit.
Why it matters: More revenue would show a recovery from the big drop in Q1.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $172.4 million, showing growth from Q1.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is still below $172.4 million. This shows ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Southland's business. A stronger sector can lead to more opportunities.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A big drop in revenue would show ongoing problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 revenue drops more than 40% compared to Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue declines less than 40% year over year.
Why it matters: Management's focus on improving operations is key to stopping losses. Their actions will show if they are solving financial issues.
Watch forManagement reports a reduction in gross loss and improved margins in Q3.
Also watch forThere are still big gross losses and margins below -2.8% in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$510 on $10,000 · ±5.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,160 loss on $10,000 · 11.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,883 loss on $10,000 · 88.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Fixing the earnings miss shows that management wants to improve financial health.
Supportive ifManagement provides a clear plan to address the earnings miss during the Q2 call.
Worry ifManagement fails to mention or address the earnings miss in the Q2 call.
Why it matters: Lowering the Credit Agreement balance shows better money management. It also means more cash.
Supportive ifThe Credit Agreement balance is under $90 million.
Worry ifCredit Agreement balance stays above $90 million or goes up.
Why it matters: If revenue stabilizes or grows, it shows the company is fixing its problems.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $113.3 million reported for Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $113.3 million.
Why it matters: A better margin means Southland is managing costs and projects well.
Supportive ifGross profit margin improves to above 0% in Q2.
Worry ifGross profit margin remains negative or worsens in Q2.
Why it matters: Issuing Preferred Shares will show how Southland manages its Non-Bonding Financing. This is key to their financial strategy.
Supportive ifThe company issues Preferred Shares worth $150.86 million by the deadline.
Worry ifThe company fails to issue any Preferred Shares by September 30, 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in backlog can show future revenue and how well the company is doing.
Watch forBacklog rises from $1.88 billion. This suggests strong future project wins.
Also watch forBacklog falls from $1.88 billion. This indicates possible project losses.
Why it matters: A growing backlog means more money in the future. It also shows strong operations.
Supportive ifBacklog increases from $1.88 billion to above $1.9 billion.
Worry ifBacklog drops or stays below $1.88 billion.
Why it matters: Getting these agreements is important for funding projects. Delays can limit money options.
Supportive ifA press release confirms new credit deals or funding secured for surety.
Worry ifNo progress or more delays in getting credit agreements.
Why it matters: Progress in this partnership can create more project chances and financial stability. Legal fixes are important to move ahead.
Watch forGood news about the partnership shows successful legal fixes.
Also watch forBad news in the partnership or more legal problems.