Simulations Plus, Inc. (SLP)
NASDAQHealth CareSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.43+0.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SLP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers
SLP — litigation filed
Dated 2026-06-16
Regulation FD Disclosure. On June 16, 2026, Simulations Plus, Inc., a California corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing the execution of an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger Agreement”) by and among the Company, SP Evolution HoldCo II, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and an affiliate of Altaris, LLC (“Parent”), and SP Evolution BidCo II, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent (“Merger Sub”), pursuant to which…
Why it matters: Growth in services revenue shows strong demand for the company's solutions.
Supportive ifServices revenue growth reported above 20% year over year.
Worry ifServices revenue growth reported below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Completing the merger will start a new phase for Simulations Plus.
Supportive ifThe merger closes as planned in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Worry ifThe merger is delayed or not completed by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows good management of costs and operations.
Watch forAdjusted EPS reported within the $0.75 - $0.85 range.
Also watch forAdjusted EPS reported outside the $0.75 - $0.85 range.
Why it matters: Shareholder approval is a key step to finalize the merger with Altaris. This will impact the company's future direction.
Supportive ifShareholders vote for the merger agreement at the special meeting.
Worry ifShareholders vote no on the merger agreement.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$22 on $10,000 · ±0.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $474 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,549 loss on $10,000 · 45.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting this guidance shows growth and matches what management expects.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue reported at or above $79 million.
Worry ifQ4 revenue reported below $79 million.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue guidance shows the company is growing. This is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifManagement confirms revenue guidance of $79M - $82M for fiscal 2026 soon.
Worry ifManagement cuts revenue guidance to under $79M.
Why it matters: Merger details can change company plans. They can also affect how investors feel.
Watch forThere is news about the merger progress or completion.
Also watch forThe merger agreement has delays or problems.
Why it matters: If the health care sector's growth speeds up, it may help SLP's performance. This could signal a better environment for the company.
Supportive ifThe health care sector's revenue growth is speeding up. It is getting close to 10% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth continues to slow below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: More cash flow means better financial health and efficiency. This helps fund growth.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $6.5 million for Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations drops below $6 million for Q3 2026.