Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
SEACOR Marine Holdings, Inc. (SMHI)
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-11-05
$8.66-2.59%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for SMHI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
earnings per share improves toward profitability | A primary condition in SEACOR Marine Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= -0.35 USD per share. | Intact | EPS remains below -0.35 USD per share by FY25 | Diluted EPS: $-0.36 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= -0.35 USD per share. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 28, 2026-0.36 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a cyclical, higher-risk shipping business with an operational improvement story, not yet a proven earnings compounder. The long-term thesis is in watch status: utilization and vessel profit have improved, but recent financial performance remains below its industry cohort.
SMHI screens cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting current expectations may be cautious. The valuation signal has medium confidence, and the evidence does not show concentrated fragility in what is priced in.
Near-term execution has improved: fleet utilization rose to 71% in Q3, and direct vessel profit increased from Q1, while two recent earnings events were reported as beats. Yet Q3 revenue rose from Q2 as operating income moved from a profit to a loss, and the sector backdrop remains a headwind.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on whether better utilization and vessel profit translate into steadier operating results, and whether the strategic review leads to a substantive outcome. A guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; continued strong results and higher guidance from sector bellwethers KEX and MATX would support the sector backdrop, while misses or lower guidance could weaken it.
Over a 1 to 3 year horizon, SMHI has credible operating progress but still faces loss-making results, elevated risk, and an unresolved strategic review. The thesis hinges on converting operational gains into consistent profitability amid a challenging sector. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
credit agreement modification maintains financial flexibility |
| The company enhanced financial flexibility by modifying its credit agreement. |
| Intact |
| credit agreement terms are not improved or become more restrictive |
Qualitative: Credit agreement modified to enhance flexibility May 2026 news reports credit agreement modification to enhance financial flexibility, strongly reinforcing the driver. Nov 5, 2026Last status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
revenue decline limited to no worse than -6% annually | A supporting condition in SEACOR Marine Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is revenue growth >= -6% YoY. | Intact | revenue declines more than 6% year-over-year | Revenue growth: -3.28% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: revenue growth >= -6% YoY. Reported actuals cannot certify a consensus target without an explicit period and accounting-basis binding. Oct 28, 2026-3.282427 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-2.57 → $-2.19 · observed estimates
$0.20B → $0.22B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-2.57 | $197,868,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-2.57 | $197,868,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-2.57 | $197,868,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-2.57 | $197,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-2.57 | $197,868,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-2.57 | $197,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-2.57 | $197,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-3.13 | $209,581,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-05 | $-2.19 | $218,183,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.