SEACOR Marine Holdings, Inc. (SMHI)
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.76+0.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMHI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -60.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SMHI — credit agreement
Dated 2026-05-21
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 20, 2026, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (the “Company”), as parent guarantor, and SEACOR Marine Foreign Holdings Inc., as borrower and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company (“SMFH”), entered into a letter agreement (“Letter Agreement”) for the purposes of modifying that certain credit agreement, dated as of November 27, 2024, among the Company, SMFH, certain other wholly-owned subsidiaries of the Company, as subsidiary guarantors, an affiliate…
Why it matters: The Board's review could lead to significant changes that impact shareholder value. Investors need to know if a sale, merger, or other strategic move is decided.
Supportive ifA press release will confirm a deal for a strategic transaction.
Worry ifNo news on strategic options after three months.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth speeds up, it may help SEACOR Marine's performance. A stronger sector can lift all boats.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth increases back toward its highs, above 5%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down or is below 5%.
Why it matters: Earnings improvement is key for SEACOR Marine's growth. It affects future investments.
Supportive ifEarnings improvement metrics show a positive trend over the next two quarters.
Worry ifEarnings metrics stagnate or decline over the next two quarters.
Why it matters: A higher DVP means better profits and performance.
Supportive ifDirect vessel profit exceeds $8 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifDirect vessel profit falls below $7 million in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$131 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $510 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,275 loss on $10,000 · 22.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher costs may hurt profits and efficiency in the area.
Worry ifLabor and insurance costs in the Middle East rise due to conflict.
Less concerning ifCosts stay the same or drop in the Middle East, showing better conditions.
Why it matters: More vessel sales can strengthen the balance sheet. This may improve future earnings.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least two more vessel sales that bring in cash.
Worry ifNo further vessel sales announced within the next quarter.
Why it matters: Improving earnings would indicate that SEACOR Marine is on track with its growth priorities. This may boost investor sentiment.
Supportive ifEarnings per share shows a year-over-year increase of more than 10%.
Worry ifEarnings per share shows a year-over-year decline or no growth.
Why it matters: Ongoing conflict may slow operations and raise costs. This affects overall performance.
Worry ifOperations in the Middle East restart on time and costs become stable.
Less concerning ifFurther delays or increased costs in the Middle East due to ongoing conflict.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows better operations and market conditions. This is key for making money.
Supportive ifQ3 operating revenues are over $54.6 million, showing growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenues fall below $54.6 million. This shows ongoing business challenges.
Why it matters: Modifying the credit agreement could give SEACOR Marine more financial flexibility. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifA formal announcement confirms the change in the credit agreement.
Worry ifNo progress on the credit agreement change by the next earnings report.
Why it matters: Completing the sale of three vessels could improve cash flow and reduce losses.
Supportive ifAll three vessels classified as held for sale are sold by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifNot all three vessels are sold by the end of Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The review might lead to a sale or merger. This could greatly affect shareholder value.
Supportive ifA sale or merger agreement is announced.
Worry ifNo updates are given, and the review takes longer than expected.
Why it matters: Higher day rates show better market conditions and more pricing power.
Supportive ifAverage day rates are above $20,500 in the next quarters.
Worry ifAverage day rates drop below $20,000, showing lower demand.
Why it matters: Less fleet use means problems. This could lead to less money coming in.
Worry ifFleet use stays above 65% for several quarters.
Less concerning ifFleet use is under 65%. This shows there are problems with operations.
Why it matters: Gains from selling assets can help improve cash flow and finances.
Supportive ifNet cash proceeds from vessel sales exceed $30 million in upcoming quarters.
Worry ifNo further vessel sales are completed, or losses are reported on sales.