Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.35-15.20%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for SMR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
expansion of nuclear training centers and global partnerships | NuScale leads in modular nuclear power with new training centers and global partnerships. | Intact | no new training centers or partnership progress announced in next 4 quarters | Qualitative progress: 1 potential deal (Sep 2026) + Europe SMR interest (Sep 2026) News confirms potential transformative deal and strong European interest in SMRs, supporting partnership expansion. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, speculative growth business, not a proven earnings compounder. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: management is advancing deployment and supply-chain readiness, but current revenue is limited and financial performance remains weak.
The valuation is stretched, with a 74.41% premium versus peers and a low-confidence model. The evidence points to expectations built around future opportunity, but does not show that commercial deployment or revenue growth has been achieved at scale.
Near term, results may remain uneven: second-quarter revenue fell to $75K from $8.05M a year earlier after prior FEED Phase 2 work was completed, while research and development spending increased. Management reports $1.9 billion in liquidity, but ongoing losses and cash outflows make execution and funding use important to track; recent earnings have included misses and in-line reports.
Over the next one to three years, the thesis depends on whether work with TVA and European partners advances toward commercial deployment agreements and whether supply-chain readiness progresses. Near-term sector signals also matter: continued strength from industrial bellwethers could support the backdrop, while weaker reports or a further weakening jobs trend could add pressure to cyclical businesses.
SMR has a long-term opportunity tied to commercial deployment, but the current business is loss-making, execution risk is high, and valuation is stretched relative to peers. The multi-year view hinges on converting plans and investment into durable commercial progress. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
earnings per share (EPS) |
| A primary condition in Nuscale Power Corp's published investment case. The stated target is EPS improves from -$0.51 in 2026 to better than -$0.69 in 2027. |
| Improving |
| EPS worsens beyond -$0.69 in FY27 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
annual revenue growth | A primary condition in Nuscale Power Corp's published investment case. The stated target is >=207% YoY growth from 2026 to 2027. | Improving | annual revenue growth falls below 0% in FY27 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.73 → $-0.58 · observed estimates
$0.17B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.73 | $157,511,327 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.73 | $157,511,327 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.73 | $157,511,327 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.73 | $169,270,590 | 11 / 15 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.73 | $157,511,327 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.71 | $148,831,060 | 10 / 15 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.71 | $148,831,060 | 10 / 15 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.66 | $140,960,370 | 11 / 16 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 10 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.75 | $164,306,592 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.67 | $143,968,581 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 9 / 11 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.67 | $134,497,993 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.61 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.62 | $116,916,618 | 8 / 11 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.62 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.61 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.61 | $109,829,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.61 | $109,204,624 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.59 | $107,267,124 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.59 | $107,267,124 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.59 | $107,267,124 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.59 | $107,267,124 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.59 | $107,267,124 | 8 / 10 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.58 | $102,721,999 | 9 / 10 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 6 Buy / Strong Buy · 8 Hold · 5 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 4 recorded
0 raises · 2 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.