Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.70-0.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -60.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SMR — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, NuScale Power Corporation announced its financial results for the second quarter which ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release making this announcement is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to liabilities of that sect…
Why it matters: More R&D spending shows efforts to improve technology and get ready for use.
Supportive ifR&D costs rise a lot, showing progress in technology and design.
Worry ifR&D costs fall or stay the same, hinting at slow technology development.
Why it matters: This project shows how NuScale is growing and using its technology worldwide.
Supportive ifThere are public announcements about key steps in the RoPower project.
Worry ifDelays or setbacks in the RoPower project timeline.
Why it matters: More spending on R&D shows investment in technology. It shows readiness for commercial use.
Supportive ifR&D expenses increase beyond $18.4 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifR&D expenses decrease or stay flat compared to $18.4 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Nuscale can improve its financial performance. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forThe earnings report shows more money made or smaller losses than last quarter.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows more losses or less money made than last quarter.
Why it matters: A deal with TVA would mark a major step in deploying NuScale's technology. It could signal strong demand for their nuclear power modules.
Supportive ifNuScale has a signed power purchase agreement with TVA. This is for using NuScale Power Modules.
Worry ifNo agreement reached with TVA by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: A strong liquidity position is key for funding projects and growth.
Worry ifCash flow stays at or above $1.9 billion. This helps with business readiness.
Less concerning ifCash flow drops below $1.9 billion. This raises concerns about funding.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow is important. It helps with project readiness and ongoing work.
Watch forLiquidity remains above $1.9 billion in the next quarter.
Also watch forLiquidity drops below $1.5 billion in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Having strong cash flow helps fund projects. It also gets ready for business operations.
Supportive ifLiquidity remains above $1.5 billion at the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifLiquidity falls below $1.5 billion at the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Nuscale. This could improve its market position.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up again. This shows a good trend.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down. This points to ongoing problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$373 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,004 loss on $10,000 · 10.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,579 loss on $10,000 · 85.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.