Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.13-4.47%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -60.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers
SMR — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, NuScale Power Corporation announced its financial results for the second quarter which ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release making this announcement is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to liabilities of that sect…
Why it matters: HIPS is a safety system for the module. Finishing its design would mark progress on supply readiness.
Supportive ifNuScale or Paragon confirms HIPS final design work is complete.
Worry ifNuScale says HIPS design work is delayed, unfinished, or needs more work.
Why it matters: A signed deal would turn talks into a binding path for a large U.S. power project.
Supportive ifENTRA1 and TVA sign a final power purchase agreement for the deployment program.
Worry ifNuScale says talks have ended, or gives no update on a signed agreement by its next earnings report.
Why it matters: The next report can show whether project talks and supply work are moving forward. It can also update revenue and cash.
Watch forThe report names a signed TVA deal or a clear RoPower milestone. It also reports revenue above $1 million.
Also watch forThe report shows no deal or RoPower progress. Revenue is below $1 million, or cash and investments are below $1.5 billion.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $75,000, down from $8.05 million a year earlier. Another very low result would show limited paid project work.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $1 million, with no new paid project work disclosed.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue rises above $1 million and the company names new paid project work.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$337 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $952 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,647 loss on $10,000 · 86.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Clearing the vote's conditions would move the Romania project closer to deployment. A delay would slow its progress.
Watch forNuScale or its partners confirm that the conditions tied to the shareholder vote are met.
Also watch forNuScale or its partners report that the conditions remain unmet or the project is delayed.