SharkNinja (SN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$173.38-1.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition The following information and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. On Augu…
Why it matters: The consumer discretionary sector is going down. If SharkNinja has positive revenue growth, it may recover.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows a positive change after being negative.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative for another quarter.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the weak consumer sector.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: This growth rate shows if SharkNinja maintains strong sales momentum. It indicates the health of its core business.
Supportive ifNet sales growth exceeds 16% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifNet sales growth falls below 16% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: Ongoing buybacks show that management believes in the stock. They want to return money to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company announces more share buybacks under the $750 million program.
Worry ifNo more share buybacks are announced under the program.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $385 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,783 loss on $10,000 · 27.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This range shows if SharkNinja meets its target for profit growth. It reflects management's focus on improving earnings.
Supportive ifAdjusted net income per diluted share falls within the $6.45 to $6.55 range.
Worry ifAdjusted net income per diluted share falls below $6.45.
Why it matters: The tariff refund would lower costs and improve margins. This is key for profit.
Supportive ifAbout $247.1 million is recognized as a cost of sales reduction.
Worry ifNo tariff refunds mean costs are still high.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the consumer discretionary sector. This could improve SharkNinja's outlook.
Supportive ifSharkNinja reports positive revenue growth year over year in the next earnings report.
Worry ifSharkNinja keeps showing negative revenue growth each year.