SharkNinja (SN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$217.13-0.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 54.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition The following information and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. On Augu…
Why it matters: International sales grew 36.6% in Q2. Growth above 30% would show that the expansion across markets remains strong.
Supportive ifQ3 international net sales grow more than 30% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 international net sales grow less than 20% year over year or fall from a year earlier.
Why it matters: The claims were accepted, and the company expects to record the benefit in Q3. Payment would confirm cash recovery; a delay could leave cash tied up.
Watch forSharkNinja reports that CBP paid the accepted $247.1 million claims, or that the cash arrived in Q3.
Also watch forSharkNinja reports the refund is delayed, denied, or still unpaid after Q3.
Why it matters: Inventory rose 14.1% from December to June while sales grew 22.2% year over year in Q2. Faster inventory growth could point to slower stock turnover.
Worry ifQ3 inventory grows more than 22.2% year over year, faster than Q2 sales growth.
Less concerning ifQ3 inventory growth stays below 14.1% year over year, or inventory falls from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Q2 sales grew 22.2%, and SharkNinja raised its 2026 sales outlook. Q3 sales will show whether that pace can support the higher target.
Watch forQ3 net sales grow at least 16% year over year, keeping the company on pace for its 16%–17% full-year outlook.
Also watch forQ3 net sales growth falls below 16%, or management cuts the 2026 sales outlook below 16%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $370 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,574 loss on $10,000 · 25.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management raised its full-year adjusted profit-per-share range. Q3 results will show whether earnings are tracking that higher range.
Watch forSharkNinja keeps its full-year adjusted profit per share outlook at $6.45–$6.55, or raises it.
Also watch forSharkNinja cuts its full-year adjusted profit per share outlook to below $6.45.