Snap-on (SNA)
NYSEIndustrialsTools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-07-08
$408.76-1.17%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $408.76. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $409 SNA trades at 21× p/e, below its 31× p/e peer median, but our blended $379 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $380–$431. Note: our $379 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($380–$431). Not investment advice.
$380.00 – $431.00 (median $407.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-28
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 14% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $19.34/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $407.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $638.30 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $676.86 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $159.06 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $220.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $548.13 | 26.8 | 20.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $595.83 | 31.3 | 19.06 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $281.97 | 2.9 | 97.24 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $452.43 | 23.7 | 19.06 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $151.74 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $343.20 | 18.0 | 19.06 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $609.36 | 31.3 | 19.49 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $833.64 | 26.8 | 31.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $664.24 | 31.3 | 21.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $280.25 | 2.9 | 96.64 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $504.38 | 23.7 | 21.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $382.61 | 18.0 | 21.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1102.49 | 26.8 | 41.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $661.54 | 31.3 | 21.16 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $279.11 | 2.9 | 96.25 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $502.33 | 23.7 | 21.16 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $381.05 | 18.0 | 21.16 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.