Sandisk (SNDK)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1740.00+11.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SNDK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SNDK — private placement
Dated 2026-03-25
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 25, 2026, Sandisk Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Sandisk Corporation, entered into a Private Placement Subscription Agreement (the “Equity Investment Agreement”) with Nanya Technology Corporation (“Nanya”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to make a strategic equity investment in Nanya through a private placement of Nanya common stock (the “Transaction”). Under the Equity Investment Agreement, the Compa…
Why it matters: The spin-off could change Sandisk's focus and finances, affecting future growth.
Watch forThe market reacts well. There are good news or announcements after the spin-off.
Also watch forThe market reacts negatively or there are problems after the spin-off.
Why it matters: Slower growth may show problems in the Datacenter segment.
Worry ifDatacenter revenue growth is less than 50% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifDatacenter revenue growth is more than 50% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Active buybacks show strong capital use. They also show management's confidence.
Supportive ifShare repurchases will be announced for Q1 2027.
Worry ifNo share buybacks reported for Q1 2027.
Why it matters: This guidance shows profit expectations. Meeting this range can mean good cost control and strong sales.
Supportive ifQ4 EPS reported within or above the guidance range of $30.00 to $33.00.
Worry ifQ4 EPS reported below $30.00.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$522 on $10,000 · ±5.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,132 loss on $10,000 · 11.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,649 loss on $10,000 · 56.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The spin-off could change investor perception and affect Sandisk's stock value.
Watch forStock price shows a positive trend after the spin-off on February 21, 2025.
Also watch forThe stock price drops a lot after the spin-off.
Why it matters: Lower revenue guidance may show slower growth after strong results.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue guidance below $10.30 billion.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 revenue guidance at or above $10.30 billion.
Why it matters: Active share buybacks show good capital use. It also shows management believes in future cash flow.
Supportive ifThey announced a share buyback plan worth $14 billion.
Worry ifNo news on share repurchase activity in the next quarter.
Why it matters: More agreements would show progress in moving to multi-year customer contracts. This helps keep revenue stable.
Supportive ifThey announced at least two new agreements for the New Business Model.
Worry ifNo new Business Model agreements announced in the next quarter.