Stoneridge Inc (SRI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.78-16.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SRI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -73.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -19.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SRI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, Stoneridge, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. On August 6, 2026, members of the Company’s senior management will hold the second quarter 2026 earnings conference call via webcast to discuss the Company’s financial results and the presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, will accompany…
Why it matters: Both leaders are set to start November 2. Their roles cover customer ties, sales plans, and new products.
Watch forThe company confirms both leaders started, then reports a new OEM award or product launch tied to their work.
Also watch forEither leader does not start, or the company reports no new award or launch tied to their work by Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Stoneridge reported $5.5 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2. Its full-year target is $20 million to $25 million.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $7.25 million, the average per quarter needed in Q3 and Q4 to reach $20 million.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $7.25 million, raising the Q4 pace needed to reach $20 million.
Why it matters: Stoneridge reaffirmed its 2026 revenue range. Q3 results will show if sales stay on that path.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least $161.3 million, the average quarterly sales needed for the $645 million low end after Q1 and Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $161.3 million, making the $645 million low end harder to reach in Q4.
Why it matters: MirrorEye set a quarterly sales record at about $37 million in Q2. The stated 2026 goal is at least $160 million.
Supportive ifQ3 MirrorEye revenue is at least $40 million. Q3 and Q4 sales must average that amount to reach $160 million after Q2.
Worry ifQ3 MirrorEye revenue is below $40 million, raising the Q4 pace needed to reach $160 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$167 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $495 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,853 loss on $10,000 · 48.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.