Stoneridge Inc (SRI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$7.48+4.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SRI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -15.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SRI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, Stoneridge, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. On August 6, 2026, members of the Company’s senior management will hold the second quarter 2026 earnings conference call via webcast to discuss the Company’s financial results and the presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, will accompany…
Why it matters: This guidance shows that management believes in growth and market demand.
Supportive ifRevenue growth from $149 million in Q1 to $181 million in Q2 supports the guidance.
Worry ifRevenue guidance is not met or is lowered a lot.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost control and efficiency. This is important for making money.
Supportive ifOperating margin reaches 0% or more by the end of 2026.
Worry ifOperating margin stays negative by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong demand for MirrorEye. It will help growth.
Supportive ifMirrorEye revenue reaches $160 million or more by year-end 2026.
Worry ifMirrorEye revenue falls short of $160 million by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins mean lower costs and better efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating margin improved to -0.7% in Q2 2026 from -2.7% in Q2 2025.
Worry ifOperating margin gets worse or stays negative beyond the expected range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$241 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $485 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,853 loss on $10,000 · 48.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A strong CFO can improve financial health and strategy. His experience may help drive better results.
Supportive ifAfter his appointment, revenue growth and margin get better.
Worry ifFinancial performance stays poor even with his leadership.
Why it matters: A strong adjusted EBITDA shows better performance and cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA exceeds $20 million for the full year 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $20 million for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth would confirm the company's recovery and market demand. It is vital for meeting annual guidance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 15% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 10% year-over-year.