STAG Industrial (STAG)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$37.68-0.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STAG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
STAG — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-28
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On July 28, 2026, STAG Industrial, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, and its financial condition as of June 30, 2026. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The press release referred to certain supplemental information that is available in the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at www.stagindustrial.…
Why it matters: A drop in leasing activity may show problems in getting tenants and making money.
Worry ifLeasing activity is below 5 million square feet next quarter.
Less concerning ifLeasing activity is above 5 million square feet.
Why it matters: A smaller acquisition pipeline may mean fewer growth chances for STAG.
Worry ifThe acquisition pipeline will be less than $4 billion next quarter.
Less concerning ifThe acquisition pipeline will be $4 billion or more.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising net income is important. It helps the company's finances and builds trust with investors.
Supportive ifNet income exceeds $61.9 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet income falls below $61.9 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: New leases show demand for STAG's properties. Fewer signings mean the market is weakening.
Worry ifNew lease signings total less than 252,496 square feet in 2026.
Less concerning ifNew lease signings exceed 252,496 square feet in 2026.
Why it matters: Core FFO per share growth indicates the company's ability to generate cash. It is crucial for sustaining dividends.
Supportive ifQ2 Core FFO per share growth above 6.6% year over year.
Worry ifCore FFO per share growth below 6.6% year over year.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how STAG is performing in a slowing sector. Investors will look for revenue growth trends.
Watch forQ2 earnings show revenue growth speeding up again. It is getting closer to past highs.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth slowing down or falling. This trend is continuing.
Why it matters: Worse refinancing terms could mean higher costs and hurt overall financial health.
Worry ifNew refinancing terms may have an interest rate above 4.79% in future deals.
Less concerning ifNew refinancing terms may have an interest rate below 4.79% in future deals.
Why it matters: The real estate sector is maturing. Changes in revenue growth could signal a shift in market dynamics.
Watch forSector revenue growth is starting to speed up again. This follows recent drops.
Also watch forSector revenue growth keeps falling. This shows a trend that is getting older.
Why it matters: A drop in net income per share may show weaker profits. This can hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifNet income per share falls below $0.28.
Less concerning ifNet income per share remains at or above $0.28.
Why it matters: A slowdown in Same Store Cash NOI growth could signal weakening portfolio performance. This is vital for income stability.
Worry ifSame Store Cash NOI growth below 3% YoY in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifSame Store Cash NOI growth remains above 3% YoY in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Strong leasing shows demand for STAG's properties. This helps revenue growth and portfolio health.
Supportive ifNew leases signed totaling over 5 million square feet in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNew leases signed totaling less than 5 million square feet in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in occupancy rates could indicate challenges in retaining tenants. This impacts revenue and cash flow.
Worry ifOccupancy rates fall below 94% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rates remain at or above 94% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in Core FFO per share may mean less profit. This can hurt dividends and investor trust.
Worry ifCore FFO per share falls below $0.65 in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifCore FFO per share stays at or above $0.65 in Q3 2026.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $178 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,349 loss on $10,000 · 13.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.