Stem Inc (STEM)
NYSEUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.18-24.31%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STEM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 109 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers
STEM — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-10-23
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On October 19, 2026, Stem, Inc. (the “Company”) notified the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) that the Company is not in compliance with the requirement of Section 802.01B of the NYSE Listed Company Manual (“NYSE Manual”) that the Company have an average market capitalization of not less than $50.0 million over a consecutive 30 trading-day period and stockholders’ equity of not less than $…
Why it matters: Stem reported $62.4M in ARR at Q2, below its $65M-$70M year-end target. More recurring revenue would show progress toward that goal.
Supportive ifStem reports year-end 2026 ARR of at least $65M.
Worry ifStem reports year-end 2026 ARR below $65M or cuts its $65M-$70M target.
Why it matters: Stem fell below the NYSE market value and stockholder equity rules. Acceptance of its plan is a key step toward keeping its listing.
Worry ifThe NYSE accepts Stem's plan to regain compliance within 18 months and begins quarterly checks.
Less concerning ifThe NYSE rejects the plan, or Stem fails a quarterly check or misses the 18-month cure period.
Why it matters: Stem reaffirmed its 2026 targets in August. The next report can show whether sales and cash flow are on track.
Watch forStem keeps its 2026 targets: revenue of $140M-$190M, adjusted EBITDA of $10M-$15M, and operating cash flow of $0M-$10M.
Also watch forStem cuts any of those 2026 targets or reports results that make them harder to reach.
Why it matters: PowerTrack software grew 11% year over year in Q2, down from 16% in Q1. Q3 will show if growth holds or slows further.
Watch forPowerTrack software revenue grows at least 11% year over year in Q3.
Also watch forPowerTrack software revenue grows less than 11% year over year or declines.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$363 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $945 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,824 loss on $10,000 · 78.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.