STMicroelectronics NV (STM)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$52.24+1.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers
Why it matters: The GDP report could impact market sentiment and STM's outlook. Strong GDP growth may boost confidence.
Watch forGDP growth reported above 2% in the second estimate.
Also watch forGDP growth reported below 1% in the second estimate.
Why it matters: This data can affect how much people want semiconductors. It also shows how the economy is doing.
Watch forGDP growth above 2% and corporate profits showing an increase.
Also watch forGDP growth below 1% and corporate profits declining.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into STM's performance and market conditions. It could affect investor sentiment.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth is better than expected.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth is worse than expected.
Why it matters: A drop below the median signals a slowdown in the growth phase for the sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector in the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median in the next earnings report.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$271 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $571 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,941 loss on $10,000 · 39.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More claims may show that the economy is weak. This can lower the demand for semiconductors.
Worry ifWeekly claims rise above 300,000 for two consecutive weeks.
Less concerning ifWeekly claims remain below 250,000 for two consecutive weeks.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a potential slowdown in the sector.
Worry ifSTMicroelectronics' revenue growth is below the sector median of 2% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the sector median of 2% year over year.
Why it matters: The Producer Price Index affects input costs. It can change margins for STMicroelectronics.
Watch forPPI data shows lower producer prices. This means lower input costs.
Also watch forPPI data shows higher producer prices. This means higher input costs.
Why it matters: The Consumer Price Index impacts how much people buy. This can change STMicroelectronics' sales.
Watch forCPI data shows lower consumer prices. This suggests stronger consumer demand.
Also watch forCPI data shows higher consumer prices. This suggests weaker consumer demand.