STMicroelectronics NV (STM)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$45.60-6.06%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: The FOMC's choice can change interest rates and the economy. This affects STM's market.
Watch forFOMC raises interest rates. This shows a stricter monetary policy.
Also watch forFOMC keeps interest rates the same or lowers them. This shows a looser policy.
Why it matters: Shifts in demand can impact STM's sales and growth prospects. Monitoring demand is critical.
Watch forReports say that demand for semiconductors is going up in key markets.
Also watch forReports show a fall in semiconductor demand or too much stock.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its growth trend is easing. A further slowdown could add pressure to STM.
Worry ifThe sector's revenue growth drops below its median, as flagged in the sector outlook.
Less concerning ifThe sector's revenue growth stays above its median and the easing trend stops.
Why it matters: The report is the next chance to see if STM's business outlook has changed. Current company signals are marked as elevated risk.
Watch forSTM reports improved results or raises its outlook in the October 29 release.
Also watch forSTM reports weaker results or cuts its outlook in the October 29 release.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$240 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $589 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,484 loss on $10,000 · 44.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Earnings guidance will indicate STM's outlook and how it compares to peers like NVIDIA and Broadcom.
Watch forSTM raises or maintains its earnings guidance during the Q3 earnings call.
Also watch forSTM lowers its earnings guidance during the Q3 earnings call.
Why it matters: A drop below the median signals a slowdown in the growth phase for the sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector in the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: A continued gap versus the sector would show weaker recent share performance. The sector's 20-day relative return is already negative.
Worry ifSTM's relative return versus XLK remains below zero over the next 60 days.
Less concerning ifSTM's relative return versus XLK turns positive over the next 60 days.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would indicate a slowdown in the sector's growth phase. This could impact STM's performance.
Worry ifSTM's revenue growth reported below the median growth rate of the sector.
Less concerning ifSTM's revenue growth remains above the median growth rate of the sector.
Why it matters: A drop below median revenue growth would signal a slowdown in the sector's growth phase.
Worry ifSTMicroelectronics shows revenue growth that is lower than the sector's median.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above the median for the sector.