Strattec Security Corp. (STRT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$64.14+0.99%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
STRT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On May 7, 2026, Strattec Security Corporation (the “ Company ”) issued a press release (the “ Press Release ”) announcing results for the fiscal third quarter ended March 29, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. Also on May 7, 2026, the Company first provided investors with a supplemental presentation regarding fiscal third quarter earnings and other current financial information, atta…
Why it matters: Strattec bought $5.0 million of shares in fiscal Q1 and had $35.0 million left under its plan. Further purchases would show continued cash returns.
Supportive ifA later filing reports at least $5.0 million in more share repurchases under the current plan.
Worry ifA later quarter reports no share repurchases and the company ends or pauses its current plan.
Why it matters: Lower customer production volumes cut fiscal Q1 sales by $6.2 million. More volume losses could weigh on sales and margins.
Worry ifQuarterly sales fall below $147.2 million. Fewer customer visits again drive the drop.
Less concerning ifQuarterly sales top $147.2 million as customer volumes rise from a year ago.
Why it matters: Management is cutting costs to lift margins. A move toward its 18% to 20% goal would show progress.
Supportive ifQuarterly gross margin reaches at least 18%, up from 16.5% in fiscal Q1 2027.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 16.5% in a later quarter.
Why it matters: Management is working to win future vehicle programs and build customer ties. A named win would show progress on that goal.
Supportive ifStrattec names a new OEM award for a vehicle platform starting in model year 2029 or later.
Worry ifStrattec reports losing a future platform bid or delaying a planned program start.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $384 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,410 loss on $10,000 · 34.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A completed deal could add scale or broaden customers and products. No deal has been reported in the supplied updates.
Watch forStrattec announces a signed or completed deal. The deal adds scale or expands its customers, products, or regions.
Also watch forThe company reports no deal and scales back its active acquisition funnel.