Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. (STRW)
AMEXReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.43-4.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STRW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
STRW — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-05
Other Events. On November 5, 2026, the Board of Directors of Strawberry Fields Realty, Inc. declared a cash dividend on its common stock (the “Common Stock”) in the amount of $0.17 per share (the “Dividend”). The Dividend will be payable in cash on December 30, 2026 to holders of record of the Common Stock as of December 16, 2026.
Why it matters: Q2 AFFO per share fell to $0.32 from $0.34 a year earlier, while FFO per share stayed at $0.36. A recovery would show stronger cash earnings per share.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports AFFO per share at or above $0.34, up from $0.32 in Q2 2026.
Worry ifA later quarter reports AFFO per share below $0.32.
Why it matters: The $10.4 million purchase adds a hospital, a 99-bed nursing home, and medical offices. Its lease starts at $1.04 million in annual rent.
Supportive ifA company filing confirms the campus purchase closed. It joined the Missouri tenant's master lease, with $1.04 million in annual base rent.
Worry ifThe company reports the deal did not close, or the campus was not added to the tenant's master lease.
Why it matters: Rent grew 6% in Q2, helped by property purchases. Faster growth would show the portfolio is still adding revenue as the real estate sector matures.
Supportive ifQ3 rental revenue grows more than 6% year over year, above the Q2 rate.
Worry ifQ3 rental revenue grows less than 6% year over year or falls from a year earlier.
Why it matters: The Series D bonds carry 7.5% annual interest. The first interest payment is due Dec. 31, 2026, making payment a clear test of debt service.
Watch forA company notice or payment report confirms the first Series D interest payment was made on Dec. 31, 2026.
Also watch forA company filing reports that the Dec. 31 Series D interest payment was delayed or missed.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $271 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,512 loss on $10,000 · 15.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The new credit facility has up to $300 million available, and management said it could fund deals before year-end. New closings would show the facility is supporting growth.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 5 results name a new acquisition funded in part by the facility, or report use of its revolving line for a deal.
Worry ifThe Nov. 5 results report no new deal closings and no facility funds used for acquisitions.
Why it matters: Full rent collection supports cash flow from the health care leases. A drop would weaken that sign of tenant payment strength.
Watch forThe next results report 100% of contractual rent collected, confirming the upside read.
Also watch forThe next results report less than 100% of contractual rent collected, confirming the downside read.